Market Outlook 03.12
Welcome to this week’s market outlook preparing you for what is likely to come over this weekend.
Tonight we will see the release of Team of the Group Stage cards. This promo can be considered one of the staples of the game early on for many years now, the selection of the best in-form players from Europe means a strong lineup of cards on offer is always to be expected.
All of that means a lot of initial supply & demand which means other areas of the market will likely react in certain ways that we can try to predict and take advantage of. Let’s get into it!
Supply
A lot of packs will probably be opened tonight but definitely not as many as during Black Friday. Judging from past “classic” promos like these there will likely be 3 sets of Lightning Rounds so that means 6/7/8 PM (UK time) featuring 50k/100k/125k packs. That will undoubtedly lead to an initial drop in prices of Gold cards, Icons and select Specials that get a replacement in the new promo team.
However, packs being opened means only one important thing – the player base gets a hold of a lot of coins they didn’t previously have and consequently are looking to spend them. That leads to a rebound depending on the card type.
Icons during promos like these traditionally tend to take a dive in value and reach the low point around 1 to 1.5h after content drop (Friday & Saturday) and then rebound nicely closer to midnight. If you’re on a high budget and looking to trade rather than invest, that’s one of the better things to keep an eye on.
Some useful links:
- Overall Market PlayStation | Xbox
- Base Icons PlayStation | Xbox
- Mid Icons PlayStation | Xbox
Use the index graph to help you understand if the market is still dropping, flattening out or starting a rise. One of the most important tools for a trader. Best way to gain experience is simply to monitor it before 6 PM and then after. You will definitely see similar patterns week after week.
On the same page by scrolling down you can keep an eye out for cards that are most down in value, indicating some potential flips.
*Reminder to never buy blindly, make sure to check all available resources like the Sold Prices page to see what kind of sale you can expect and going off of that, calculate your buy price. Don’t forget about the 5% tax on all sales!
Fodder cards depend on solely one thing – SBC content. If there’s nothing favourable released, 82-91 rated fodder cards will drop in supply and could form a window of investment.
Some rough buy prices for the ratings I prefer:
84s <3.000 (have shown a peak of ~4.500 before)
85s <6.000 (have shown a peak of ~9.000 before)
86s <11.000 (have shown a peak of ~16.000 before)
87s <16.000 (have shown a peak of ~24.000 before)
88s <22.000 (have shown a peak of ~32.000 before)
Make sure to check out the Lowest Prices page here before investing
*It is up to you on how much you’re willing to invest, however, all that is needed are some gamble SBCs like Icons or Party Bags for these fodder cards to return to their previous peaks or even surpass them.
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Until next time, happy trading!
